研究述评
倾向值匹配与因果推论:方法论述评
andPropensityScoreMatching,CommonSupportGraphing,andCovariateImbalanceTes-ting.”(http://ideas.repec.org/c/boc/bocode/s432001.html)
Li,Bobai&AndrewG.Walder2001,“CareerAdvancementasPartyPatronage:SponsoredMobili-tyintotheChineseAdministrativeElite,1949-1996.”AmericanJournalofSociology106(5).
Lin,Danyu,BruceM.Psaty&RichardA.Chronmal1997
,“AssessingtheSensitivityofRegres-sionResultstoUnmeasuredConfoundersinObservationalStudies.”TechnicalReport#144.Seattle:UniversityofWashingtonSchoolofPublicHealth.
Lin,Nan&YanjieBian1991,“GettingAheadinUrbanChina.”AmericanJournalofSociology97
(3).
Martens,EdwinP.,WiebeR.Pestman,AnthoniusdeBoer,SvetlanaV.Belitser&OlafH.Klun-gel2006
,“InstrumentalVariablesApplicationandLimitations.”Epidemiology17(3).Mill,JohnStuart2002/1984,SystemofLogic:RatiocinativeandInductive.Hawaii:University
PressofthePacific.
Morgan,StephenL.&ChristopherWinship2007,CounterfactualsandCausalInference:Methods
andPrinciplesforSocialResearch.NewYork:CambridgeUniversityPress.
Morgan,StephenL.&DavidJ.Harding2006
,“MatchingEstimatorsofCausalEffects:ProspectsandPitfallsinTheoryandPractice.”SociologicalMethods&Research35(1).
Morgan,StephenL.2001
,“Counterfactuals,CausalEffectHeterogeneity,andtheCatholicSchoolEffectonLearning.”SociologyofEducation74.
Newhouse,JosephP.&MarkMcClellan1998
,“EconometricsinOutcomesResearch:TheUseofInstrumentalVariables.”AnnualReviewofPublicHealth19.
Normand,Sharon-LiseT.,MaryBethLandruma,EdwardGuadagnoli,JohnZ.Ayanian,ThomasJ.Ryan,PaulD.Cleary&BarbaraJ.McNeil2001,“ValidatingRecommendationsforCoro-naryAngiographyFollowingAcuteMyocardialInfarctionintheElderly:AMatchedAnalysisU-singPropensityScores.”JournalofClinicalEpidemiology54(4).Rosenbaum,PaulR.2002,ObservationalStudies.NewYork:Springer.
Rosenbaum,PaulR.&DonaldB.Rubin1983,“TheCentralRoleofthePropensityScoreinOb-servationalStudiesforCausalEffects.”Biometrika70(1).
Rubin,DonaldB.1997,“EstimatingCausalEffectsfromLargeDataSetsUsingPropensity
Scores.”AnnalsofInternalMedicine127(8).
Sekhon,JasjeetSingh&WalterR.Mebane,Jr.1998,“GeneticOptimizationUsingDerivatives:
TheoryandApplicationtoNonlinearModels.”PoliticalAnalysis7.
Shu,Xiaoling2004
,“EducationandGenderEgalitarianism:TheCaseofChina.”SociologyofEd-ucation77(4).
Smith,HerbertL.1997
,“MatchingwithMultipleControlstoEstimateTreatmentEffectsinObserva-tionalStudies.”SociologicalMethodology27.
Sobel,MichaelE.1995,“CausalInferenceintheSocialandBehavioralSciences.”InGerhard
Arminger,CliffordC.Clogg&MichaelE.Sobel(eds.),HandbookofStatisticalModelingfor
241
社会学研究
2012.1
theSocialandBehavioralSciences.NewYork:PlenumPress.
———1996,“AnIntroductiontoCausalInference.”SociologicalMethods&Research24(3).———2000,“CausalInferenceintheSocialSciences.”JournaloftheAmericanStatisticalAssocia-tion450(5).
Stuart,ElizabethA.&KerryM.Green2008
,“UsingFullMatchingtoEstimateCausalEffectsinNonexperimentalStudies:ExaminingtheRelationshipBetweenAdolescentMarijuanaUseandAdultOutcomes.”DevelopmentalPsychology44(2).
Thistlethwaite,DonaldL.&DonaldT.Campbell1960
,“Regression-DiscontinuityAnalysis:AnAlternativetotheExPostFactoExperiment.”JournalofEducationalPsychology51(6).Walder,AndrewG.&SonghuaHu2009
,“Revolution,Reform,andStatusInheritance:UrbanChina,1949-1996.”AmericanJournalofSociology114(5).
Winship,Christopher&MichaelE.Sobel2004,“CausalInferenceinSociologicalStudies.”InMe-lissaA.Hardy&AlanBryman(eds.),HandbookofDataAnalysis.CA:SagePublications.Winship,Christopher&StephenL.Morgan1999
,“TheEstimationofCausalEffectsfromObserva-tionalData.”AnnualReviewofSociology25.
Wooldridge,JeffreyM.2002,EconometricAnalysisofCrossSectionandPanelData.Cambridge:
MITPress.
Xie,Yu&XiaogangWu2008
,“DanweiProfitabilityandEarningsInequalityinUrbanChina.”TheChinaQuarterly195.
作者单位:美国普度大学社会学系
责任编辑:杨典
242
ratism,that'stosay,weshouldfindouttheideologicalandsocietalfoundationsofcorporatismanditsinstitutionalcharacteristics.Basedonthecomprehensiveunder-standingofcorporatism,theauthorpointsoutthatalthoughtheinstitutionalformsintherelationshipbetweenstateandsocietyinChinaarehighlysimilartothoseofthecorporatistmodel,thecorporatistmodelcannotbeappliedinChinaproperlyduetolackofsocietalfoundations.
“TheTrajectoryofUp-Down-Fragmentation-Integration”:Theproducingofcommunityspace……………………………HuangXiaoxing199
Abstract:Theauthorfirstanalyzestheapplicabilityofthewesternorganizationalpar-adigmoftheproducingofcommunityspaceinthecontextoftheambiguous-strategic
relationshipofstateandsocietyinChina,andthenpointsoutthatweneedtocon-structanewtheorybettermatchedtothetransitionperiodofChina.Thepaperfocu-sesonthestoryoftheplanningandconstructionofGuanganCancerHospitalinNanxinGardenCommunity,andanalyzesthemechanismsoftheproducingofcom-munityspaceunderthestructuredcontextofthereframingoftheurbanspace.Theauthorpointsoutthatwhenthelayoutofurbanspacewasbeingcarriedout,powerwashiddeninthemarketsystemandthediscourseofprocedurelegitimacyandprop-ertyrightswereusedtoacquirethemonopolyposition.Simultaneously,peopleinthecommunityfoughtthegovernmentwiththeconsciousnessofrulesandrights,butfailedintheend.Thepaperanalyzesthestrategiesofthehegemonyofspace,thetacticsofspaceprotest,andthetracksoftheproducingofcommunityspace.Basedontheanalysis,theauthorsuggeststhatweshouldshifttotheproducingofthespaceofsocialisminordertoacquirespacejustice.
REVIEW
PropensityScoreMatchingandCausalInference:Amethodologicalre-view…………………………………………………HuAnning221
Abstract:Propensityscorematchingmethodhasattractedmoreandmoreattentionassociologicalstudiesbegintopaycloserattentiontocausalrelationship.Thisarticlereviewsthemethodfromthefollowingaspects.First,theauthorsystematicallyre-viewsthehistoryanddevelopmentofpropensityscorematchingaswellasitsimplica-tionsforsociologicalsurveyresearch.Second,thisresearchdemonstrateshowtoper-formpropensityscorematchingusinganexample.Third,basedonMill'sdiscussiononcausalityandstatisticalcounterfactualframework,thisarticleshowshowpropensi-tyscorematchingcontributestocausalconclusionbycontrollingforconfoundingvari-ablesandsatisfyingtheunconfoundednessassumption.Fourth,thispapercomparespropensityscorematchingwithregressiondiscontinuitydesignandinstrumentalvaria-blemethod.Finally,aftersummarizingthemajorlimitationsofpropensityscorematching,thisarticlediscussesthenewlydevelopmentofpropensityscorematchinginrecentyears.
246