overtaking Germany this decade. By 2005, Goldman Sachs suggested, these four newcomers will likely have displaced all but the U.S. and Japan from the top six economies in the world.
最大的变化或许刚刚开始。高盛集团2003年进行的一项既有里程碑意义的研究预测说,根据对人口和经济增长的预计,四大经济体------俄罗斯、巴西、印度和中国------在世界经济中的力量将普遍超过预期。中国的经济实力极可能就在这个十年内赶超德国。高盛集团说,到2050年,这四大经济体将有可能取代目前世界前六大经济体中除美国和日本之外的四个经济体。
9 It’s also entirely possible that the near future may see the pendulum of capital s wing away from Davos Man-style globalization. One counterpoint is Manila W oman – low-paid migrant workers from Asia and elsewhere who are increasin gly providing key services around the world. Valerie Gooding, the chief exec utive of British health care company BUPA, says the British and U.S. healt h care system would break down without immigrant nurses from Philippines, I ndia, Nigeria and elsewhere. unlike Davos Man, she says, they’re not ambivalent about being strongly patriotic.
在不远的将来,资本流动也完全有可能脱离达沃斯人式的全球化运行的轨迹。与达沃斯人相对应的是马尼拉女人。这些来自亚洲和其他地方的低薪流动工人正在全世界提供日益增多的关键服务。英国一家医疗保健公司------保柏集团的首席执行官瓦莱丽·戈丁说,要是没有来自菲律宾、印度、尼日利亚和其他地方的移民护士,英美两国的医疗保健体系就会崩溃。她说,与达沃斯人不同,她们