7.c.减少分析的偏见并避免任何一个人对结果有不当影响 8.a.对负面见险事件没有计划到的响应 9.d.蒙特?卡罗分析 10.b.13%
11.c.PDM进度计划 12.a.应用三角形概率分布 13.c.接受风险事件带来的后果 14.d.56%
15.a.确定所有要做的工作，因此，能帮助识别潜在的危险源 16.b.灾难恢复措施而不是风险评审 17.d.在其发生前不能知道的任意风险 18.b.敏感性分析 19.d.900000美元 20.c.积极接受
21.d.更新风险识别以及定性和定量风险分析
22.b.如果特定的风险发生，则对其给项目目标带来的影响赋予一个相对值 23.b.风险的可能性和风险影响的乘积 24.c.执行意外事件计划
25.b.强制考虑每个结果的可能性 26.a.风险触发器 27.b.风险识别清单
28.d.通过养活其发生的可能性来减少风险事件的预计货币值 29.a.在概念阶段 30.c.通货膨胀 31.c.执行和收尾
32.b.它是风险识别的输入
33.c.项目团队进行风险评审，项目以外的人员进行风险审计 34.a.数据精度级别 35.c.退却计划
36.d.确保每个已识别的并被认为是关键的风险有一个计算的期望值 37.a.定义一旦已识别风险事件发生时应采取的步骤 38.c.成本加成本百分数 39.a.确定项目总的风险级别 40.d.规避
中英文对照20题－风险管理
1. When the risk event probabilities are multiplied by their respective estimated risk event values (in dollars) and are then added together, the sum represents the: A. Project manager ’s risk aversion quotient B. Total project risk events
C. Expected monetary value of the project’s risk D. Scope planning
当风险事件概率乘以他们相应的风险事件估计价值 ( 以美元计) ,然后加在一起的总和表示:
A. 项目经理的风险厌恶系数 B. 总的项目风险事件 C. 项目风险的预期估价 D. 范围规划
2. Which of the following utility functions reflect risk aversion? A. Uniform B. Increasing rate C. Decreasing rate D. Exponential
下列哪一个效用函数反映着厌恶风险? A. 一致性 B. 递增比率 C. 递减比率 D. 指数
3. A project manager states, ―I know that the risk exists and am aware of the possible consequences. I am willing to wait and see what happens. I accept the consequences should they occur. ‖ He /she is exercising the method of risk reduction. A. Transfer B. Avoidance C. Mitigation D. Assumption
某项目经理说,\我知道有风险存在,而且注意到其可能的后果我愿意等着看会发生什么事万一他们确实发生,我接受其结果\他对于减少风险是在用什么方式 A. 转移 B. 回避 C. 降低 D. 接受
4. A project manager states, ―I will take the necessary measures required to control this risk by continuously reevaluating it and developing contingency plans or fall-back positions. If the risk event occurs, I will take the appropriate actions.‖ He/she is exercising the method of risk reduction. A. Transfer B. Avoidance C. Mitigation D. Acceptance
某项目经理人说,\我将会采取必要的措施去控制风险, 通过不断地反复评估风险, 制定应变计划或重做 如果风险事件确实发生, 我将会采取适当的行动\该经理是在运用什么方式去减少风险 A. 转移 B. 回避 C. 降低 D. 接受
5. If a project manager has a very low tolerance for risk, he is said to be: A. Risk averse B. Risk tolerant C. Risk reluctant D. Methodical
如果一个项目经理对风险难以忍受,,他是: A. 厌恶风险的 B. 能承受风险的 C. 不愿意有风险的 D. 有办法的
6. If the minimum payoffs of four different strategies A1, A2, A3, and A4 are –10, 15, 0, and –20 respectively, which strategy would a project manager choose, using the ―maximin‖ or Wald criteria (risk avoide r)? A. Strategy A1 B. Strategy A2 C. Strategy A3 D. Strategy A4
如果四个不同的策略 A1 A2
A3 和 A4 的最小报酬分别是-10,15,0, 和-20, 用‖ 最小最大化‖或Wald 标准(避免风险), 项目经理会选择哪一个策略? A. 策略 A1 B. 策略 A2 C. 策略 A3 D. 策略 A4
7. The iterative process that helps determine those risks that might affect the project and documenting their characteristics is known as: A. Risk identification B. Risk-handing C. Lessons learned D. Risk analysis
反复检查,以帮助决定哪些风险会影响项目,并记录风险的特性.这个过程被称为是: A. 风险识别 B. 风险处理 C. 经验教训学习 D. 风险分析
8. Based on the data in the table below, which strategy has the highest expected value? A. S1 B. S2 C. S3 D. S4
Payoff Table (Profit in Millions)
Strategy Scenario 1 25% Scenario 2 50% Scenario 3 25% S1 80 50 120 S2 80 80 80 S3 160 120 -20 S4 20 40 20 S5 -20 0 -60
基于下表数据计算, 哪一策略有最高的期望值? A. S1 B. S2 C. S3 D. S4
9. Risk can have a positive or negative impact on a project. Future events or outcomes that are favor able are called: A. Risks B. Opportunities C. Benefits D. Contingencies
风险对项目可能有正面或负面的影响 未来的事件或结果是有利的被称为: A. 风险 B. 机会 C. 受益 D. 意外事件
10. Using the figure below, what is the probability that project1 will be selected and completed successfully? A. 50% B. 30% C. 60% D. 40%
用下面数字计算,项目1 将会被选择并且成功完成的概率是多少? A. 50% B. 30% C. 60% D. 40%
11. The requirements and functional specifications have been completed and the acceptance test strategy is now in development. At what point in the project should the project manager plan for events not happening in accordance with the project plan?
A. When the unanticipated events occur, because this approach saves you valuable time B. Contingency planning should occur throughout the project life cycle C. Only during the development of the risk management plan D. Contingency planning occurs mainly in the Design Phase
已经完成了需求和功能规格的制定正在制定验收测试策略在项目的什么阶段时刻,项目经理应该安排处理
那些与项目计划预计发生偏差的事件?
A. 当未预料到的事件发生的时候由于这种方法节省你宝贵的时间 B. 意外事件规划应该贯穿于整个项目生命周期 C. 仅在风险管理计划制定期间
D. 意外事件规划主要地在项目设计阶段进行
12. If a risk event has a chance of occurring 15 times out of 45 times, based on experiences with like events, what is the probability that the event will occur on the next project? A. 90% B. 45% C. 15% D. 33%
如果一个风险事件的发生机会是45 次中出现15 次,基于类似事件的经验, 在下个项目上, 这个风险事件发生的概率是多少? A. 90% B. 45% C. 15% D. 33%
13. During which phase of a project is the level of uncertainty the greatest? A. Design
B. Development/Execution C. Conceptual D. Phase-out
在项目的哪一阶段,不确定性程度最大? A. 设计 B. 开发/实行 C. 构思立项 D. 结束
14. The expected value of a risk event is calculated by multiplying the . A. Likelihood of the event by the consequence of its occurrence B. Likelihood of the event by the number of risk events
C. The number of risk events by the consequences of their occurrence
D. The likelihood of the greatest risk event by the consequence of the smallest risk event 计算风险事件的期望值是通过乘上什么 A. 事件发生的可能性乘以事件发生的结果 B. 事件发生的可能性乘以风险事件发生次数 C. 风险事件发生次数乘以事件发生的结果
D. 最大风险的事件发生可能性乘以最小风险的事件的发生的结果
15. Which of the following is not an external, unpredictable risk? A. Changes in government regulations B. Natural disasters C. Vandalism