n?100,N?100/1%?10000,?(Z?/2)?99.73%,Z?/2?3X*?150g?xf(1)x??f2?150.3;sx2?(x?x)??f2f?0.76sn?x?x(1?)?0.0867;?x?Z?/2?x?0.26nNX?x??x?150.3?0.26在99.73%概率保证下。这批茶叶每包的平均重量范围为(150.56, 150.14),达到不低于150克的标准要求。(2)p?702?70%,sp?p(1?p)?0.211002?p?n)?0.0456;?p?Z?/2?p?0.1368nNP?p??p?70%?13.68%(1?sp在99.73%概率保证下。这批茶叶的合格率范围为(83.68%, 56.32%)。
13、 解:依题意,总体方差未知,且为大样本。
2N?2500,n?400.x?3000kg;sx?300;1???95%,Z?/2?1.96(1)X2sxn?x?(1?)?0.7937;?x?Z?/2?x?1.557?1.56nNX?x??x?3000?1.56:(2998.44kg,3001.56kg) (2)良种率P的置信区间
p?90%,s2p?p(1?p)?90%?10%?9%?p?n)?1.374%;?p?Z?/2?p?2.69%nNP?p??p?90%?2.69%:(87.31%,92.69%)(1?N?5000;n?200,n1?170,1???95.45%,Z?/2?2p?n1?85%;s2p?p(1?p)?12.75%ns2p?2.525%;?p?Z?/2?p?5.05%s2p 14、解:
?p?nP?p??p?85%?5.05%:(79.95%,90.05%)NL?N?P?3997.5?3998;NU?N?P?4502.5?4503根据计算,在95.45%置信度下,该批树苗的成活率的置信区间为79.95%~90.05%之间。成活总数的置信区间为3998~4503株之间。
15、解:根据题意,等比例类型抽样
N?4000;n?200;ni/n?Ni/N;1???95.45%,Z?/2?212122x??nixi?194;sx??nisi2?3043.6ni?1ni?12sxn?x?(1?)?3.80;?x?Z?/2?x?2?3.8?7.6nNX?x??x?194?7.6;(186.4,201.6)XN?4000?(194?7.6);(745600,806400)16、解:(1)随机起始点。d=300/15=20。
3,23,43,63,83,103,123,143,163,183,203,223,243,263,283。 (2)半距起点时,抽中学生的编号为
10,30,50,70,90、110、130、150、170、190、210、230、250、270、290。 (3)采取对称取点时,
3, 37;43; 77; 83; 117; 123; 157; 163; 197; 203;237;243; 277; 283。
17、解:依题意,此为无关标志排队的等距抽样。
(1)Xn?500;N?500?10;1???95.45%,Z?/2?2?xfx??f?3980;sx2?(x?x)f??f?12?1562725.452sxn?x?(1?)?53.037;?x?Z?/2?x?106.074nNX?x??x?3980?106.074:(3873.926;4086.074)(2)XN?500?10?(3980?106.074):(19369631;20430369)(3)P80p??16%;s2p?p(1?p)500?p?n)?1.6395%;?p?Z?/2?p?3.279%nNP?p??p?16%?3.279%:(12.72%,19.279%)(1?s2p18、解:(1)本书稿错字数的置信区间
n?30;N?30?5?150;1???95%,Z?/2?1.96x??x?4.733;snx?3.442sxN?n?x?()?0.564;?x?Z?/2?x?1.1058nN?1X?x??x?4.733?1.1058:(3.628,5.839)XN?(4.733?1.1058)?150:(544.13,875.87)(2)本书平均每页错字率的置信区间
p?p??0.0034;snp??(p?p)n?12?0.00259s2N?np?x?()?0.00042;?p?Z?/2?p?0.00083nN?1P?p??p?0.0034?0.00083:(0.00259,0.00425)
19、解:N=600 M=5;n=30.p=95%,δp=4%;1-α=68.3%,Zα/2=1 整群抽样的抽样误差
2
4`0?30??3.56%rR?130600?1?p?Z?/2?p?1?3.56%?3.56%?p?2?pR?r()?P?p??p?95%?3.56%:(91.44%,98.56%)在68.3%的置信度下,这批商品的合格率的置信区间为(91.44%,98.56%)。 20、解:
(1)样本平均废品率及其方差. 采用不重复抽样 。 r?100,R?1000pf?p??fiii?2% sp2(p?p)???fii2fi?0.45%;?(t)?68.27%, t?1s2rp?p?(1?)?0.064%;?p??p*t?0.064%rRP?p??p?2%?0.064%以 概率保证程度68.27%,估计这批零件的废品率区间为(2.064%, 1.936%)(2) ?(t)?95.45%, t?2; P?2.5%, r??r?Nt2sp2222N?p?tsps2pr?7.148?8(3)按重复抽样时,抽样平均误差?p???p??0.067!、解:
(1)X?xx?ri?75;?x??(xi?x)2r?1?15.81?x?()?6.77;?x?t?/2(n?1)?x?18.81rR?1X?x??x?75?18.81:(56.19,93.81)?x2R?r