2.1解:(1)x~Exp(?) 则??1^??,令??x,则
1^??x
?^ 这样可以得到:?? (2)x~u(a,b) 则?1?u? ?2????? 令: ?????21?
xa?b2?u2
?13(b?ab?a)
^^?^22u?x?2a?b2^^^2?2?S?213^2
(b?ab?a)?x??^?a?x? 这样可以得:?^???b?x???^?3sa?x?或者?^?2?3s?b?x?23s3s2(因为a
2 (3)?1???^??10?x??1xdx????1
令??x
^ 即有
?^?^?x又??0,0?x<1
^??1 解得:??x1?x pk
(4)?1????k??0(k?1)!??kxk?1e?pxxdx
=
?(k?1)!?0xe??xdx
令?x?t
?k?? 上式=
(k?1)!?tk0???ke?t1??tdt
=
?(k?1)!?10tedt??(k?1)?(k?1)!?k!?(k?1)!?k?
^?^ 令u?x,则?? (5)令x-a=t
k?
x t服从参数为?的指数分布
E(t)?1
?E(x?a)?
则E(x)?E(x?a)?a?1??a
?1?1??a
?^1?x?^?a??? 令? 2^^2^211?S2?a??u?u?2^2^????^ 可得:??1S2^?,a?x?S2
(6)?1???mp X~B(m,p)
?^?^^ 令 u?x?mp,p?
2.2
xm
??e??x?x?0解: (1) 由于X~Exp(?),所以f(x)??,
?0,????????其它???xin??ne?i?1?xi?0,lnL(?)?nln????x, 因此L(?)??ii?1?0,?????????????其它?n 令
?lnL(?)????nn???xi?0,该似然方程有唯一解??i?1?1X,所以?的极大似然估计
量为??1X
?1,??a?x?b?? (2)由于X~U(a,b),所以f(x)??b?a,
?0,?????????其它?
所以,样本(X1,X2,?,Xn)的联合概率密度为
n?i?11?,??a?x1,?,xn?b??n,故(a,b)的似然函数为 f(a,b)??(b?a)?0,?????????????其它?1?,??a?min(x1,?,xn),b?max(x1,?,xn)?n,易见, L(a,b)??(b?a)?0??????????????其它???当a?min(x1,?,xn),b?max(x1,?,xn)时,L(a,b)取得最大值,故(a,b)的极大似
??然估计量为a?min(x1,?,xn),b?max(x1,?,xn)
?nn??1n???xi???xi?1 (3) 因为L(?)??,所以lnL(?)?nln??(??1)?lnxi, i?1i?1?0,???????????????其它? 令
?lnL(?)???nn???i?1?lnxi?0,该似然方程有唯一解???nn,所以?的极大似
i?lnxi?1?然估计量为???nn
i?lnXi?1?nkn???xi?k?1?xiei?1?xi?0?n (4) 因为L(?)??[(k?1)]i?1,所以 ??0,???????????????????????????????????其它nnn lnL(?)?nkln??nln(k?1)!?(k?1)?lnxi???lnxi,
i?1i?1令
?lnL(?)???nkn???xi?0,该似然方程有唯一解??i?1?nkn,所以?的极大似然估
i?xi?1?计量为??kX
(5) 样本(X1,X2,?,Xn)的联合概率密度为
n?i?1???(xi?a)??ne?i?1,??x1,?,xn?a?f(a,?)???0,??????????????????其它?n,
???(xi?a)???ne?i?1,??min(x1,?,xn)?a?,易见当a?min(x1,?,xn)时, L(a,?)???0,??????????????????其它??nL(a,?)取得最大值,因此a的极大似然估计量为a?min(x1,?,xn);
nlnL(a,?)?nln????(xi?a)
i?1而令
?lnL(a,?)????nn???(xi?a)?0,该似然方程有唯一解??i?1?1X?a,所以?的极
大似然估计量为??1X?a
xxm?xp(1?p),x?0,1,2,?, (6) 因X的概率函数为P{X?x}?Cmm 故p的似然函数为L(p)??Ci?1mximpi(1?p)xm?xi,xi?0,1,2,?,
对数似然函数为lnL(p)??[lnCi?1xim?xilnp?(m?xi)ln(1?p)],
nni 令
?lnL(p)?p??x?i?1?(m?x)i?p?i?11?p?0,该似然方程有唯一解p?Xm,故p的极大似
然估计量为p?
Xm.
n2.3 解:似然函数L(P;x)=?p(xi;P)
i?1n =?p(1?p)i?1xi?1
=(p1?pn)(1?p)?xi
i?1n 令:
?lnL(?)2p?n1p?n11?pt?xii?1?n11?p?0
^ ?p?1n??x 又因
i?lnL(p)?p22|??0
?xi?1p?xn^??p的极大似然估计量为p?x
2.4解:该产品编号服从均匀分布,即x~u(1,N) 矩估计方法:?1???^?1?N2^
^?? 令:??x 则有:x?1?N2 ?N?2x?1?2*710?1?1419
n 极大似然估计方法:L(N)=?i?11N?1?(1N?1n)
^ 显然:当N=min(x1,x2,----xn)时,L(N)取得最大值,只有一个值
^^ ?N=710,即N的极大似然估计量为N=710 2.5
解:由于总体X~N(?,?),所以?,?的极大似然估计量分别为??X,?意?以 1???
2.6 解:(1)R=x(n)?x(1)?2.14?2.09?0.05
^22??2?S,而由题
2??12???e?(x??????2dx?0.025可知P{X??}?????12??e?(x??????2dx?0.025,所
?????)?0.025??1.96???,因此?的极大似然估计量为??1.96S,即
2?X.
???Rd5?0.4299*0.05?0.0215
(2)将题中数据等分为三组
第一组:2.14,2.10,2.15,2.13,2.12,2.13,
2.10,2.15,2.12,2.14,2.10,2.13 2.11,2.14,2.10,2.11,2.15,2.10
? 平均极差:R?^13?(0.05?0.05?0.05)?0.05
???1d0R?0.3946?0.05?0.019 7