硕士论文
山东大学博士学位论文
Abstracts
OnJuly21st,2005,Thepeople’SbankofChinadeclaredthatRMBexchangerateaginstUSdollarappreciated2%,andRMBexchangerateregimewasturnedfrompeggingagainstUSdollartomanagedfloatingexchangerateregimebasedonmarketdemandandsupplyanda西ustedtoabasketofforeigncurreicies.FromthenonRMBexchangeratesaidgoodbyetomorethantenyearslongfixedexchangerateregimeandenteredtheeraofmanagedfloatingexchangerateregime.Inthepasttwoyearsfluctuationsofexchangerateshavebecomeaindispensablepartofeconomy.Withtheincreasedexpansionofexchangeratefluctuations,whetherthiswillaffectthestabilityofdomesticprices,andwhatmonetarypoliciesthecentralbankshouldtaketodealwiththeunexpectedimpactofexchangeratefluctuationsonpolicyaims,haveattractedtheattentionofdomesticeconomiststostudytherelationshipbetweenRMBexchangeratesandpricesatdifferentlevels.
Basedonsummationonrelevanttheories,usingdatafromJanruary2000toMarch2007,thispaperfocusesonempiricallystudytheeffectofRMBexchangeratemovememondomesticprices.ComparativeanalysismethodisusedtoanalyzetheeffectOfRMBexchangeratereformonRMBexchangeratepassthrougheffects.Theempiricalresultsrevealthat,importpricesaremostsensitivetomovememofRMBexchangerate,nextiscorporategoodsprices,andconsumerpricesareleastsensitivetoRMBexchangeratemovement.AfterRMBexchangeratereform,thepassthrougheffectofRMBexchangeratetoimportpricesandcoporategoodspricesisless,whilethepassthrougheffectofRMBexchangeratetoconsumerpricesismore.Thestructureofthisarticleisorganizedasthefollowing:
Thefirstchapterisanintroduction.Itisundoubtedthatexchangeratefluctuationswillaffectpricesandcausedifferentpriceindicestochangecorrespondentlytodifferentextents.However,whethertheexchangeratepass-througheffectiscompleteorincompleteisindeterminate.Tograspthepass-througheffects,thedeterminantfactorsandfuturemovementshasimportanteconomicandpolicyimplicationsforthecentralbankwhichisresponsibletocontrolexchangeratesandtakeappropriatemonetarypoliciestooffsetthedisturbationofexchangeratefluctuationsonpricesstability.Thisarticleaimstopindownthe4