硕士论文--不完全汇率传导理论在中国的应用——人民币汇率传导效(6)

2021-01-07 09:49

硕士论文

山东大学博士学位论文

Abstracts

OnJuly21st,2005,Thepeople’SbankofChinadeclaredthatRMBexchangerateaginstUSdollarappreciated2%,andRMBexchangerateregimewasturnedfrompeggingagainstUSdollartomanagedfloatingexchangerateregimebasedonmarketdemandandsupplyanda西ustedtoabasketofforeigncurreicies.FromthenonRMBexchangeratesaidgoodbyetomorethantenyearslongfixedexchangerateregimeandenteredtheeraofmanagedfloatingexchangerateregime.Inthepasttwoyearsfluctuationsofexchangerateshavebecomeaindispensablepartofeconomy.Withtheincreasedexpansionofexchangeratefluctuations,whetherthiswillaffectthestabilityofdomesticprices,andwhatmonetarypoliciesthecentralbankshouldtaketodealwiththeunexpectedimpactofexchangeratefluctuationsonpolicyaims,haveattractedtheattentionofdomesticeconomiststostudytherelationshipbetweenRMBexchangeratesandpricesatdifferentlevels.

Basedonsummationonrelevanttheories,usingdatafromJanruary2000toMarch2007,thispaperfocusesonempiricallystudytheeffectofRMBexchangeratemovememondomesticprices.ComparativeanalysismethodisusedtoanalyzetheeffectOfRMBexchangeratereformonRMBexchangeratepassthrougheffects.Theempiricalresultsrevealthat,importpricesaremostsensitivetomovememofRMBexchangerate,nextiscorporategoodsprices,andconsumerpricesareleastsensitivetoRMBexchangeratemovement.AfterRMBexchangeratereform,thepassthrougheffectofRMBexchangeratetoimportpricesandcoporategoodspricesisless,whilethepassthrougheffectofRMBexchangeratetoconsumerpricesismore.Thestructureofthisarticleisorganizedasthefollowing:

Thefirstchapterisanintroduction.Itisundoubtedthatexchangeratefluctuationswillaffectpricesandcausedifferentpriceindicestochangecorrespondentlytodifferentextents.However,whethertheexchangeratepass-througheffectiscompleteorincompleteisindeterminate.Tograspthepass-througheffects,thedeterminantfactorsandfuturemovementshasimportanteconomicandpolicyimplicationsforthecentralbankwhichisresponsibletocontrolexchangeratesandtakeappropriatemonetarypoliciestooffsetthedisturbationofexchangeratefluctuationsonpricesstability.Thisarticleaimstopindownthe4


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